NY-26 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.5enters as 3.5
Democrats win
96.5enters as 100 − 96.5 = 3.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NY-26 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for NY-26? - Dennis Hannon3.4Will Democratic win the House race for NY-26? - Tim Kennedy96.5NY-26 General Election — Dennis Hannon4.0NY-26 General Election — Timothy M. Kennedy89.0Will Timothy M. Kennedy win the New York 26th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will the Republican Party win the NY-26 House seat?3.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.5 · rows open on the exchange
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