UT-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
95.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
95.3enters as 95.3
Democrats win
4.7enters as 100 − 4.7 = 95.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does UT-02 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for UT-02? - Peter Crosby5.2Will Republican win the House race for UT-02? - Blake Moore95.9UT-02 General Election — Peter Crosby7.0UT-02 General Election — Blake Moore92.0Will Blake Moore win the Utah 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?92.0Will Peter Crosby win the Utah 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the UT-02 House seat?94.5Will the Democratic Party win the UT-02 House seat?4.3
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 95.3 · rows open on the exchange