FL-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
95.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
95.2enters as 95.2
Democrats win
4.8enters as 100 − 4.8 = 95.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does FL-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?95.5Will Republican win the House race for FL-03? - Kat Cammack94.6Will Democratic win the House race for FL-03? - Seth Harp6.1FL-03 General Election — Seth Harp4.0FL-03 General Election — Kat Cammack91.0Will the Republican party win the Florida's 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0
Show all 7 contracts
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 95.2 · rows open on the exchange
Other Florida races this cycle