WA-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
9.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
9.8enters as 9.8
Democrats win
90.3enters as 100 − 90.3 = 9.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does WA-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for WA-3? - John Braun11.0Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?89.5Will Democratic win the House race for WA-3? - Marie Gluesenkamp Perez91.2Washington-03 House Winner - Marie Gluesenkamp Perez93.0Washington-03 House Winner - John Braun12.0WA-03 General Election — John Braun14.0
Show all 10 contracts
WA-03 General Election — Marie Gluesenkamp Perez91.0Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez win the Washington 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0Will John Braun win the Washington 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?14.0Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?10.5
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 9.8 · rows open on the exchange