VA-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
10.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
10.2enters as 10.2
Democrats win
89.8enters as 100 − 89.8 = 10.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does VA-02 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for VA-2? - Jen Kiggans11.0Will Democratic win the House race for VA-2? - Elaine Luria90.1Virginia-02 House Winner - Jen Kiggans13.0Virginia-02 House Winner - Elaine Luria92.0VA-02 General Election — Jen Kiggans15.0VA-02 General Election — Elaine Luria86.0
Show all 10 contracts
Will Jen Kiggans win the Virginia 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?15.0Will Elaine Luria win the Virginia 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?86.0Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?9.0Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?90.5
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 10.2 · rows open on the exchange
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