Wyoming Senate 2026

The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected hold·$2K traded / 24h·12 contracts·6 exchanges·Margin rank 31 of 35
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
98.2Safe R · ▲ 0.4 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
98.2
enters as 98.2
Democrats win
1.8
enters as 100 − 1.8 = 98.2

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Control of the Senate

Does Wyoming decide the Senate?

No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.3.
Full Senate picture
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12

Sorted by weight

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Wyoming? - James Byrd1.9Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 98.1weight 86.4%Will Republicans win the Senate race in Wyoming? - Harriet Hageman98.2Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 98.2weight 13.6%Wyoming US Senate Winner - James Byrd4.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 96.0weight 0.0%Wyoming US Senate Winner - Harriet Hageman97.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 97.0weight 0.0%Wyoming Senate General Election — James Byrd2.5IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 97.5weight 0.0%Wyoming Senate General Election — Harriet Hageman97.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 97.0weight 0.0%
Show all 12 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 98.2 · rows open on the exchange
Other Wyoming races this cycle

Also on the ballot