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US GDP growth · 2026
Every prediction-market contract for this period, folded into one market-implied expected growth rate and the 0–100 economic-expectation sentiment (50 = neutral).
51.3
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
WeakStrong
2.1%
Implied GDP Growth
21
GDP Contracts
3
Prediction Market Exchanges
PMI Holdings
The underlying markets — bucket ranges and thresholds — whose prices imply the expected growth rate above. The number is each contract's market price P(YES); the growth level it references is shown alongside.
ScoreMarket24h VolExchanges
0.1PMI
GDP growth in 2026? - 6.1% or Above
$0
0.1PMI
GDP growth in 2026? - 5.6% to 6.0%
$0
0.1PMI
GDP growth in 2026? - 5.1% to 5.5%
$0
0.4PMI
GDP growth in 2026? - 4.6% to 5.0%
$0
0.1PMI
GDP growth in 2026? - 4.1% to 4.5%
$0
0.4PMI
GDP growth in 2026? - 3.6% to 4.0%
$0
2.0PMI
GDP growth in 2026? - 3.1% to 3.5%
$0
86.6PMI
Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026
$1.9k
11.0PMI
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?
$368
13.0PMI
GDP growth in 2026? - 2.6% to 3.0%
$20
31.9PMI
GDP growth in 2026? - 2.1% to 2.5%
$52
59.0PMI
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
$936
35.4PMI
GDP growth in 2026? - 1.6% to 2.0%
$47
14.0PMI
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
$467
17.0PMI
GDP growth in 2026? - 1.1% to 1.5%
$0
8.3PMI
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
$86
1.0PMI
GDP growth in 2026? - 0.6% to 1.0%
$0
1.5PMI
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
$76
1.0PMI
GDP growth in 2026? - 0.1% to 0.5%
$0
4.0PMI
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
$111
1.0PMI
GDP growth in 2026? - 0.0% or Below
$0