US GDP growth · Q3 2026
Every contract for this period, folded into one implied growth rate and a 0–100 PMIPrediction Market Index: a 0–100 reading of what traders are paying on live contracts, weighted by the money behind each one.. 50 is growth at potential.
GROWTH SENTIMENT · 50 = NEUTRAL
70.7At or above potential · ▼ 1.5 30d
WEAK50STRONG
30-DAY RANGE
30d low 68.230d high 73.5
3.0%IMPLIED GROWTH
2.0%POTENTIAL
PMI HOLDINGS · STRIKE ORDER
The growth ladder
33 contracts across ForecastEx, Kalshi, Polymarket, ordered by the growth threshold each one references. Together they imply 3.0% growth for Q3 2026, at or above the 2.0% potential.
CONTRACTSTRIKEPMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 4.5% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h4.5%13%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 4% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h4.0%25%Will real GDP increase by more than 4.0% in Q3 2026? - Above 4.0%Kalshi ↗ · $4.4k / 24h4.0%5%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 3.5% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h3.5%36%Will real GDP increase by more than 3.5% in Q3 2026? - Above 3.5%Kalshi ↗ · $4.1k / 24h3.5%25%Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Polymarket ↗ · $5.3k / 24h3.5%62%Will real GDP increase by more than 3.0% in Q3 2026? - Above 3.0%Kalshi ↗ · $10.0k / 24h3.0%60%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 3% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h3.0%51%Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Polymarket ↗ · $404 / 24h2.8%25%Will real GDP increase by more than 2.5% in Q3 2026? - Above 2.5%Kalshi ↗ · $3.5k / 24h2.5%81%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 2.5% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h2.5%63%Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Polymarket ↗ · $209 / 24h2.3%8%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 2% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h2.0%82%Will real GDP increase by more than 2.0% in Q3 2026? - Above 2.0%Kalshi ↗ · $1.6k / 24h2.0%92%Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Polymarket ↗ · $269 / 24h1.8%3%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1.5% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h1.5%94%Will real GDP increase by more than 1.5% in Q3 2026? - Above 1.5%Kalshi ↗ · $534 / 24h1.5%95%Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Polymarket ↗ · $30 / 24h1.3%1%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h1.0%95%Will real GDP increase by more than 1.0% in Q3 2026? - Above 1.0%Kalshi ↗ · $4 / 24h1.0%99%Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?Polymarket ↗ · $236 / 24h0.8%0%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 0.5% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h0.5%95%Will real GDP increase by more than 0.5% in Q3 2026? - Above 0.5%Kalshi ↗ · $0 / 24h0.5%99%Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q3 2026? - Above 0.0%Kalshi ↗ · $0 / 24h0.0%99%Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?Polymarket ↗ · $60 / 24h0.0%0%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 0% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h0.0%96%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -0.5% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h-0.5%94%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -1% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h-1.0%94%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -1.5% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h-1.5%95%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -2% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h-2.0%95%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -2.5% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h-2.5%96%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -3% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h-3.0%96%Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -3.5% in Q3 2026?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h-3.5%96%