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US GDP growth · Q3 2026
Every prediction-market contract for this period, folded into one market-implied expected growth rate and the 0–100 economic-expectation sentiment (50 = neutral).
49.3
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
WeakStrong
2.0%
Implied GDP Growth
29
GDP Contracts
3
Prediction Market Exchanges
PMI Holdings
The underlying markets — bucket ranges and thresholds — whose prices imply the expected growth rate above. The number is each contract's market price P(YES); the growth level it references is shown alongside.
ScoreMarket24h VolExchanges
19.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 4.0% in Q3 2026? - Above 4.0%
$437
31.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 3.5% in Q3 2026? - Above 3.5%
$3
43.0PMI
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?
$0
43.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 3.0% in Q3 2026? - Above 3.0%
$40
50.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 2.5% in Q3 2026? - Above 2.5%
$4
22.0PMI
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
$0
62.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 2.5% in Q3 2026?
$0
68.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 2.0% in Q3 2026? - Above 2.0%
$24
25.0PMI
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
$0
55.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 2% in Q3 2026?
$0
79.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 1.5% in Q3 2026? - Above 1.5%
$555
11.0PMI
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
$0
89.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 1.0% in Q3 2026? - Above 1.0%
$9
70.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1.5% in Q3 2026?
$0
2.6PMI
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
$10
71.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1% in Q3 2026?
$0
95.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 0.5% in Q3 2026? - Above 0.5%
$1
4.1PMI
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
$0
96.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q3 2026? - Above 0.0%
$0
75.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 0.5% in Q3 2026?
$0
0.8PMI
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?
$10
88.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 0% in Q3 2026?
$0
90.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -0.5% in Q3 2026?
$0
90.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -1% in Q3 2026?
$0
91.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -1.5% in Q3 2026?
$0
91.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -2% in Q3 2026?
$0
92.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -2.5% in Q3 2026?
$0
92.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -3% in Q3 2026?
$0
74.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -3.5% in Q3 2026?
$0