++++
US GDP growth · Q4 2026
Every prediction-market contract for this period, folded into one market-implied expected growth rate and the 0–100 economic-expectation sentiment (50 = neutral).
34.1
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
WeakStrong
1.2%
Implied GDP Growth
17
GDP Contracts
2
Prediction Market Exchanges
PMI Holdings
The underlying markets — bucket ranges and thresholds — whose prices imply the expected growth rate above. The number is each contract's market price P(YES); the growth level it references is shown alongside.
ScoreMarket24h VolExchanges
5.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 4.0% in Q4 2026? - Above 4.0%
$0
13.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 3.5% in Q4 2026? - Above 3.5%
$0
25.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 3.0% in Q4 2026? - Above 3.0%
$0
46.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 2.5% in Q4 2026? - Above 2.5%
$0
58.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 2.0% in Q4 2026? - Above 2.0%
$0
69.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 1.5% in Q4 2026? - Above 1.5%
$0
72.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 1.0% in Q4 2026? - Above 1.0%
$0
55.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1.5% in Q4 2026?
$0
88.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 0.5% in Q4 2026? - Above 0.5%
$0
63.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1% in Q4 2026?
$0
70.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 0.5% in Q4 2026?
$0
94.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q4 2026? - Above 0.0%
$0
83.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -0.5% in Q4 2026?
$0
89.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -1.5% in Q4 2026?
$0
90.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -2.5% in Q4 2026?
$0
91.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -3.5% in Q4 2026?
$0
94.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -4.5% in Q4 2026?
$0