Rhode Island Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·$1K traded / 24h·18 contracts·6 exchanges·Margin rank 30 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.6Safe D · ▲ 0.3 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.6
enters as 2.6
Democrats win
97.4
enters as 100 − 97.4 = 2.6

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Rhode Island

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 18

Sorted by weight

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Rhode Island - Helena Foulkes95.3Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 4.7weight 48.5%Rhode Island Governor Winner - Helena Foulkes97.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 3.0weight 43.7%Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?1.1Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 1.2weight 6.3%Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?96.2Polymarket ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 3.9weight 1.5%Rhode Island Governor Winner - Aaron Guckian3.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 3.0weight 0.0%Rhode Island Governor General Election — Dan McKee2.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 98.0weight 0.0%
Show all 18 contracts
Rhode Island Governor General Election — Aaron Guckian2.5IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 2.5weight 0.0%Rhode Island Governor General Election — Ken Block3.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 3.0weight 0.0%Rhode Island Governor General Election — Aaron Guckian3.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 3.0weight 0.0%Rhode Island Governor General Election — Helena Foulkes95.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%Will Ken Block win the Rhode Island general election for Governor in 2026?5.0ForecastEx ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%Will Aaron Guckian win the Rhode Island general election for Governor in 2026?5.0ForecastEx ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%Will Helena Foulkes win the Rhode Island general election for Governor in 2026?95.0ForecastEx ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%Will Aaron Guckian win the Rhode Island general election for Governor in 2026?10.0ForecastEx ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 10.0weight 0.0%Will Dan McKee win the Rhode Island general election for Governor in 2026?43.0ForecastEx ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 57.0weight 0.0%Will the Republican party win the governorship in Rhode Island - Aaron Guckian0.5Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 0.5weight 0.0%Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Rhode Island? - Republican6.0PredictIt ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 6.0weight 0.0%Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Rhode Island? - Democratic94.0PredictIt ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 6.0weight 0.0%
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Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.6 · rows open on the exchange
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