Rhode Island Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
← Closer · ALSafest race
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.4
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.4enters as 1.4
Democrats win
98.6enters as 100 − 98.6 = 1.4
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does Rhode Island decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.3.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?98.0Will Democratics win the Senate race in Rhode Island? - Jack Reed98.8Rhode Island US Senate Winner - Raymond McKay3.0Rhode Island Senate General Election — Raymond McKay5.0Rhode Island Senate General Election — Jack Reed95.0Will Republicans win the Senate race in Rhode Island? - Raymond McKay1.6
Show all 10 contracts
Will the Democratic party win the Rhode Island general election for US Senate in 2026?90.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Rhode Island? - Republican (McKay)4.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Rhode Island? - Democratic (Reed)99.0Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?1.6
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.4 · rows open on the exchange
Other Rhode Island races this cycle