South Dakota Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected hold·$205 traded / 24h·12 contracts·5 exchanges·Margin rank 33 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
97.8Safe R · ▲ 1.6 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
97.8
enters as 97.8
Democrats win
2.2
enters as 100 − 2.2 = 97.8

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in South Dakota

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12

Sorted by weight

Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Dakota - Larry Rhoden97.6Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 97.6weight 100.0%South Dakota Governor Winner - Daniel Ahlers4.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 96.0weight 0.0%South Dakota Governor Winner - Larry Rhoden99.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 99.0weight 0.0%South Dakota Governor General Election — Dan Ahlers2.5IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 97.5weight 0.0%South Dakota Governor General Election — Larry Rhoden95.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 95.0weight 0.0%South Dakota Governor General Election — Larry Rhoden98.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 98.0weight 0.0%
Show all 12 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 97.8 · rows open on the exchange
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