AZ-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.2enters as 1.2
Democrats win
98.8enters as 100 − 98.8 = 1.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does AZ-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 38 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?98.8AZ-03 General Election — Nicholas Glenn6.0AZ-03 General Election — Kirt Burgess3.0AZ-03 General Election — Yassamin Ansari96.0Will the Democratic party win the Arizona's 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-03? - Yassamin Ansari96.7
Show all 8 contracts
Will Republican win the House race for AZ-03? - Republican party3.2Will the Republican Party win the AZ-03 House seat?1.1
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.2 · rows open on the exchange
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