OH-11 House 2026

The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·$393 traded / 24h·8 contracts·4 exchanges·Margin rank 418 of 435
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.3Safe D · ▼ 1.3 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.3
enters as 1.3
Democrats win
98.8
enters as 100 − 98.8 = 1.3

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Control of the House

Does OH-11 decide the House?

No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 38 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
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Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8

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