CA-06 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.7
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.7enters as 2.7
Democrats win
97.3enters as 100 − 97.3 = 2.7
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-06 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
Will Kevin Kiley win the Us House race in California 6th in 2026?7.0Will Democratic win the House race for CA-06? - Richard Pan94.7Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?96.5California-06 House Winner - Kevin Kiley9.0California-06 House Winner - Richard Pan98.0CA-06 General Election — Kevin Kiley7.0
Show all 11 contracts
CA-06 General Election — Richard Pan91.0Will Kevin Kiley win the California 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Richard Pan win the California 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0Will Republican win the House race for CA-06? - Republican party0.1Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?1.8
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.7 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
Other California races this cycle