WV-02 House 2026

The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected hold·10 contracts·4 exchanges·Margin rank 326 of 435
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
97.3Safe R · 0.0 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
97.3
enters as 97.3
Democrats win
2.7
enters as 100 − 2.7 = 97.3

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Control of the House

Does WV-02 decide the House?

No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Full House picture
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10

Sorted by weight

WV-02 General Election — Steven Wendelin3.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 3.0weight —WV-02 General Election — Ace Parsi4.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 96.0weight —WV-02 General Election — Riley Moore96.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 96.0weight —Will Democratic win the House race for WV-02? - Ace Parsi2.4Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 97.6weight —Will Republican win the House race for WV-02? - Riley Moore97.7Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 97.7weight —Will Ace Parsi win the West Virginia 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?4.0ForecastEx ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 96.0weight —
Show all 10 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 97.3 · rows open on the exchange
Other West Virginia races this cycle

Also on the ballot