CA-14 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
0.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
0.8enters as 0.8
Democrats win
99.3enters as 100 − 99.3 = 0.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-14 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 38 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Who will win the 2026 CA-14 House election? - Aisha Wahab91.0Who will win the 2026 CA-14 House election? - Melissa Hernandez8.0CA-14 General Election — Melissa Hernandez12.0CA-14 General Election — Aisha Wahab82.0Will the Republican Party win the CA-14 House seat?0.2Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?99.5
Show all 8 contracts
Will Melissa Hernandez win the California 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0Will Aisha Wahab win the California 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?84.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 0.8 · rows open on the exchange
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