CA-36 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.3enters as 1.3
Democrats win
98.7enters as 100 − 98.7 = 1.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-36 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
CA-36 General Election — Melissa Toomim2.5CA-36 General Election — Houston Brignano4.0CA-36 General Election — Ted Lieu96.0Will Houston Brignano win the California 36th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?4.0Will Melissa Toomim win the California 36th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?6.0Will Ted Lieu win the California 36th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?96.0
Show all 10 contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-36? - Ted Lieu98.9Will Republican win the House race for CA-36? - Houston Brignano3.7Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat?2.5Will the Democratic Party win the CA-36 House seat?96.7
See every contract behind this seat
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