AL-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
98.7
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
98.7enters as 98.7
Democrats win
1.3enters as 100 − 1.3 = 98.7
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does AL-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for AL-03? - Lee McInnis1.2Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat?0.5Will Republican win the House race for AL-03? - Mike Rogers98.6Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?97.7AL-03 General Election — Lee McInnis6.0AL-03 General Election — Mike Rogers94.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will Mike Rogers win the Alabama 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?94.0Will Lee McInnis win the Alabama 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?6.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 98.7 · rows open on the exchange
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