CA-41 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
5.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
5.5enters as 5.5
Democrats win
94.5enters as 100 − 94.5 = 5.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-41 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the CA-41 House seat?4.0CA-41 General Election — Mitch Clemmons6.0CA-41 General Election — Linda Sanchez94.0Will the Democratic party win the California's 41st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?87.0Will Democratic win the House race for CA-41? - Linda Sánchez93.3Will Republican win the House race for CA-41? - Mitch Clemmons4.4
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 5.5 · rows open on the exchange
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