WI-07 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
94.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
94.6enters as 94.6
Democrats win
5.4enters as 100 − 5.4 = 94.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does WI-07 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 6
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for WI-07? - Fred Clark5.7WI-07 General Election — Fred Clark9.0WI-07 General Election — Michael Alfonso90.0Will Republican win the House race for WI-07? - Michael Alfonso92.6Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?94.5Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?4.1
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 94.6 · rows open on the exchange
Other Wisconsin races this cycle