CA-44 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
4.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
4.1enters as 4.1
Democrats win
95.9enters as 100 − 95.9 = 4.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-44 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
CA-44 General Election — Genevieve Angel4.0CA-44 General Election — Nanette Barragan93.0Will Democratic win the House race for CA-44? - Nanette Barragán95.8Will Republican win the House race for CA-44? - Genevieve Angel3.6Will Nanette Barragan win the California 44th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?93.0Will the Republican Party win the CA-44 House seat?1.6
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 4.1 · rows open on the exchange
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