CA-45 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
7.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
7.1enters as 7.1
Democrats win
92.9enters as 100 − 92.9 = 7.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-45 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for CA-45? - Chuong Vo7.4Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?6.5Will Democratic win the House race for CA-45? - Derek Tran93.1California-45 House Winner - Chuong Vo9.0California-45 House Winner - Derek Tran95.0CA-45 General Election — Chuong Vo4.0
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CA-45 General Election — Derek Tran86.0Will Derek Tran win the California 45th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?86.0Will the Democratic Party win the CA-45 House seat?94.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 7.1 · rows open on the exchange
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