VA-06 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
93.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
93.0enters as 93.0
Democrats win
7.0enters as 100 − 7.0 = 93.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does VA-06 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for VA-06? - Beth Macy7.3Will Republican win the House race for VA-06? - Ben Cline93.2VA-06 General Election — Beth Macy7.0VA-06 General Election — Ben Cline93.0Will Ben Cline win the Virginia 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?87.0Will Beth Macy win the Virginia 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?12.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?93.0Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?6.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 93.0 · rows open on the exchange
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