CA-48 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
6.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
6.8enters as 6.8
Democrats win
93.2enters as 100 − 93.2 = 6.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-48 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for CA-48? - Jim Desmond8.0California-48 House Winner - Marni von Wilpert94.0California-48 House Winner - Jim Desmond10.0CA-48 General Election — Darrell Issa2.0CA-48 General Election — Jim Desmond7.0CA-48 General Election — Marni Von Wilpert93.0
Show all 11 contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-48? - Marni von Wilpert92.4Will Jim Desmond win the California 48th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?13.0Will Darrell Issa win the California 48th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?12.0Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?6.5Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat?93.5
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 6.8 · rows open on the exchange
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