TX-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
93.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
93.2enters as 93.2
Democrats win
6.8enters as 100 − 6.8 = 93.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-02 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?7.0Will Republican win the House race for TX-02? - Steve Toth92.9TX-02 General Election — Shaun Finnie10.0TX-02 General Election — Steve Toth90.0Will Democratic win the House race for TX-02? - Shaun Finnie6.0Will Steve Toth win the Texas 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?16.0
Show all 9 contracts
Will Shaun Finnie win the Texas 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0Will Daniel Crenshaw win the Texas 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat?93.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 93.2 · rows open on the exchange
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