CA-49 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.5enters as 2.5
Democrats win
97.5enters as 100 − 97.5 = 2.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-49 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
CA-49 General Election — Armen Kurdian4.0CA-49 General Election — Mike Levin96.0Will the Democratic party win the California's 49th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?88.0Will a Democrat win the House race for CA-49? - Mike Levin96.6Will a Republican win the House race for CA-49? - Armen Kurdian1.7Will the Republican Party win the CA-49 House seat?3.1
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.5 · rows open on the exchange
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