CO-05 House 2026

The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected hold·$44K traded / 24h·7 contracts·4 exchanges·Margin rank 11 of 435
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
59.9Toss-up · ▼ 14.6 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
59.9
enters as 59.9
Democrats win
40.1
enters as 100 − 40.1 = 59.9

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Control of the House

Does CO-05 decide the House?

No single seat does on today’s prices.
CO-05 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Full House picture
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7

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