NV-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
60.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
60.0enters as 60.0
Democrats win
40.0enters as 100 − 40.0 = 60.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NV-02 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
NV-02 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for NV-02? - Teresa Benitez-Thompson40.0Will Republican win the House race for NV-02? - David Flippo59.0Will David Flippo win the Nevada 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?66.0Will Teresa Benitez-Thompson win the Nevada 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?34.0Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?59.0Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?41.0
Show all 11 contracts
NV-02 General Election — Mark Amodei3.0NV-02 General Election — Teresa Benitez-Thompson32.5NV-02 General Election — David Flippo68.5Will Cam Cavasso win the Nevada 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?33.0Will Mark Amodei win the Nevada 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?3.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 60.0 · rows open on the exchange
Other Nevada races this cycle