CT-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
4.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
4.5enters as 4.5
Democrats win
95.5enters as 100 − 95.5 = 4.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CT-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for CT-03? - Christopher Lancia4.3CT-03 General Election — Christopher Lancia2.5CT-03 General Election — Rosa DeLauro95.0Will Democratic win the House race for CT-03? - Rosa DeLauro95.2Will Rosa DeLauro win the Connecticut 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?95.0Will Christopher Lancia win the Connecticut 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?2.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the CT-03 House seat?3.6Will the Democratic Party win the CT-03 House seat?96.8
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 4.5 · rows open on the exchange
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