CT-05 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.6enters as 2.6
Democrats win
97.4enters as 100 − 97.4 = 2.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CT-05 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat?96.8Will a Republican win the House race for CT-5? - Chris Shea2.1Connecticut-05 House Winner - Jahana Hayes98.0Connecticut-05 House Winner - Chris Shea5.0CT-05 General Election — Chris Shea4.0CT-05 General Election — Jahana Hayes94.0
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Will Chris Shea win the Connecticut 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?4.0Will Jahana Hayes win the Connecticut 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?94.0Will a Democrat win the House race for CT-5? - Jahana Hayes97.2Will the Republican Party win the CT-05 House seat?1.9
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Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.6 · rows open on the exchange
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