Florida Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
88.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
88.6enters as 88.6
Democrats win
11.4enters as 100 − 11.4 = 88.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does Florida decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.3.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 14
Sorted by weight
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Florida? - Angie Nixon12.0Will Republicans win the Senate race in Florida? - Ashley Moody89.0Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?9.5Democrats win the 2026 Special Election for Senate in Florida?10.0Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?89.3Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?90.5
Show all 14 contracts
Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election?9.5Florida US Senate Winner - Angie Nixon14.0Florida US Senate Winner - Ashley Moody91.0Florida Senate Special Election — Angie Nixon12.5Florida Senate Special Election — Ashley Moody91.0Will Angie Nixon win the Florida special election for US Senate in 2026?13.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Florida? - Democratic (Nixon)14.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Florida? - Republican (Moody)87.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 88.6 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
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