GA-08 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
97.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
97.3enters as 97.3
Democrats win
2.7enters as 100 − 2.7 = 97.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does GA-08 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
GA-08 General Election — Justin Lucas4.0GA-08 General Election — Kelly Esti5.0GA-08 General Election — Austin Scott91.0Will Democratic win the House race for GA-08? - Kelly Esti2.5Will Republican win the House race for GA-08? - Austin Scott96.1Will Austin Scott win the Georgia 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0
Show all 9 contracts
Will Justin Lucas win the Georgia 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?11.0Will the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?97.6Will the Democratic Party win the GA-08 House seat?2.6
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 97.3 · rows open on the exchange
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