Georgia Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected flip to Dem·$90K traded / 24h·14 contracts·6 exchanges·Margin rank 1 of 36
Closest raceSafer · TX →
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
38.4Lean D · ▼ 15.8 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
38.4
enters as 38.4
Democrats win
61.6
enters as 100 − 61.6 = 38.4

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Georgia

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 14

Sorted by weight

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Georgia - Rick Jackson39.0Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 39.0weight 69.0%Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Georgia - Keisha Lance Bottoms62.0Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 38.0weight 25.0%Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?63.0Polymarket ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 37.0weight 3.5%Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?37.5Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 37.5weight 2.3%Georgia Governor Winner - Rick Jackson42.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 42.0weight 0.2%Georgia Governor Winner - Keisha Lance Bottoms65.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 35.0weight 0.0%
Show all 14 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 38.4 · rows open on the exchange
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