ID-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
96.7
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
96.7enters as 96.7
Democrats win
3.3enters as 100 − 3.3 = 96.7
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does ID-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for ID-01? - Russ Fulcher98.0Will the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat?95.9ID-01 General Election — Russ Fulcher93.0Will Democratic win the House race for ID-01? - Kaylee Peterson4.2Will Russ Fulcher win the Idaho 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?93.0Will Kaylee Peterson win the Idaho 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?6.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 96.7 · rows open on the exchange
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