Idaho Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
97.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
97.8enters as 97.8
Democrats win
2.3enters as 100 − 2.3 = 97.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does Idaho decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.2.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Idaho? - Jim Risch95.3Will Democratics win the Senate race in Idaho? - David Roth0.1Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?95.7Idaho Senate General Election — David Roth3.0Idaho Senate General Election — Jim Risch93.0Idaho US Senate Winner - David Roth2.0
Show all 11 contracts
Idaho US Senate Winner - Jim Risch98.0Will David Roth win the Idaho general election for US Senate in 2026?3.0Will Jim Risch win the Idaho general election for US Senate in 2026?90.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Idaho? - Democratic1.0Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?0.1
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 97.8 · rows open on the exchange
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