MI-11 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.6enters as 1.6
Democrats win
98.4enters as 100 − 98.4 = 1.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MI-11 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
MI-11 General Election — Ethan Baker7.0MI-11 General Election — Jeremy Moss90.0MI-11 General Election — Aisha Farooqi50.0Will Democratic win the House race for MI-11? - Jeremy Moss97.8Will Republican win the House race for MI-11? - Ethan Baker4.3Will Aisha Farooqi win the Michigan 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?86.0
Show all 9 contracts
Will Jeremy Moss win the Michigan 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0Will the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?2.6Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?96.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.6 · rows open on the exchange
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