IL-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
26.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
26.6enters as 26.6
Democrats win
73.5enters as 100 − 73.5 = 26.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does IL-02 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
IL-02 is one of the 39 contested seats. Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
IL-02 General Election — Mike Noack7.0IL-02 General Election — Donna Miller92.0Will Democratic win the House race for IL-02? - Donna Miller98.0Will Republican win the House race for IL-02? - Michael Noack3.9Will Mike Noack win the Illinois 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will the Republican Party win the IL-02 House seat?2.9
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 26.6 · rows open on the exchange
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