Illinois Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.8enters as 1.8
Democrats win
98.2enters as 100 − 98.2 = 1.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does Illinois decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.2.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Illinois US Senate Winner - Don Tracy6.0Will Republicans win the Senate race in Illinois? - Don Tracy1.5Will Democratics win the Senate race in Illinois? - Juliana Stratton98.0Illinois Senate General Election — Don Tracy3.0Illinois Senate General Election — Juliana Stratton97.0Illinois US Senate Winner - Juliana Stratton99.0
Show all 12 contracts
Will the Democratic party win the Illinois general election for US Senate in 2026?89.0Will the Republican party win the Illinois general election for US Senate in 2026?12.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Illinois? - Republican (Tracy)4.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Illinois? - Democrats (Stratton)98.0Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?97.9Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?2.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.8 · rows open on the exchange
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