MI-07 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
27.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
27.3enters as 27.3
Democrats win
72.7enters as 100 − 72.7 = 27.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MI-07 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
MI-07 is one of the 39 contested seats. Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-7? - William Lawrence73.0Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?28.5Will Republican win the House race for MI-7? - Tom Barrett27.0Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?71.0Michigan-07 House Winner - Curtis Hertel3.0Michigan-07 House Winner - Tom Barrett30.0
Show all 12 contracts
Michigan-07 House Winner - William Lawrence74.0MI-07 General Election — Bridget Brink3.0MI-07 General Election — Tom Barrett31.5MI-07 General Election — William Lawrence69.5Will the Democratic party win the Michigan's 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?56.0Will the Republican party win the Michigan's 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?43.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 27.3 · rows open on the exchange
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