IL-12 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
96.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
96.0enters as 96.0
Democrats win
4.0enters as 100 − 4.0 = 96.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does IL-12 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for IL-12? - Julie Fortier5.3Will the Republican Party win the IL-12 House seat?96.9Will Republican win the House race for IL-12? - Mike Bost96.9IL-12 General Election — Julie Fortier9.0IL-12 General Election — Mike Bost92.0Will Mike Bost win the Illinois 12th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will Julie Fortier win the Illinois 12th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will the Democratic Party win the IL-12 House seat?3.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 96.0 · rows open on the exchange
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