NC-08 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
96.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
96.0enters as 96.0
Democrats win
4.0enters as 100 − 4.0 = 96.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NC-08 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 6
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-08? - Colby Watson4.9NC-08 General Election — Colby Watson8.0NC-08 General Election — Mark Harris91.0Will Republican win the House race for NC-08? - Mark Harris94.5Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?95.9Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?4.0
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 96.0 · rows open on the exchange
Other North Carolina races this cycle