IL-14 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.6enters as 3.6
Democrats win
96.4enters as 100 − 96.4 = 3.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does IL-14 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Illinois-14 House Winner - Jim Marter5.0Illinois-14 House Winner - Lauren Underwood99.0IL-14 General Election — James Marter3.0IL-14 General Election — Lauren Underwood97.0Will Democratic win the House race for IL-14? - Lauren Underwood97.0Will Republican win the House race for IL-14? - James Marter4.5
Show all 10 contracts
Will Lauren Underwood win the Illinois 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?97.0Will James Marter win the Illinois 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?3.0Will the Republican Party win the IL-14 House seat?2.6Will the Democratic Party win the IL-14 House seat?95.9
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.6 · rows open on the exchange
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