DE-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.6enters as 3.6
Democrats win
96.4enters as 100 − 96.4 = 3.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does DE-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 6
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for DE-AL? - Joseph Arminio5.0Will the Democratic Party win the DE-AL House seat?96.2Delaware-At-Large House Winner - Sarah McBride99.0Will Democratic win the House race for DE-AL? - Sarah McBride97.8Will the Democratic party win the Delaware's at-large district general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will the Republican Party win the DE-AL House seat?3.1
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.6 · rows open on the exchange
Other Delaware races this cycle