IN-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
95.7
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
95.7enters as 95.7
Democrats win
4.3enters as 100 − 4.3 = 95.7
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does IN-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat?5.0Will Republican win the House race for IN-03? - Marlin Stutzman96.0IN-03 General Election — Kelly Thompson4.0IN-03 General Election — Marlin Stutzman93.0Will Democratic win the House race for IN-03? - Kelly Thompson3.9Will Marlin Stutzman win the Indiana 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?93.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will Phil Goss win the Indiana 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0Will the Republican Party win the IN-03 House seat?95.3
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 95.7 · rows open on the exchange