WI-04 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
4.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
4.3enters as 4.3
Democrats win
95.7enters as 100 − 95.7 = 4.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does WI-04 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the WI-04 House seat?4.2WI-04 General Election — Tim Rogers5.0WI-04 General Election — Gwen Moore98.0Will Democratic win the House race for WI-04? - Gwen Moore98.7Will Republican win the House race for WI-04? - Tim Rogers5.1Will Gwen Moore win the Wisconsin 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 4.3 · rows open on the exchange
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