IN-05 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
78.7
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
78.7enters as 78.7
Democrats win
21.3enters as 100 − 21.3 = 78.7
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does IN-05 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for IN-05? - Victoria Spartz79.0Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?78.0Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?22.5Will Democratic win the House race for IN-05? - J.D. Ford21.0Indiana-05 House Winner - J.D. Ford22.0Indiana-05 House Winner - Victoria Spartz81.0
Show all 10 contracts
IN-05 General Election — J.D. Ford20.0IN-05 General Election — Victoria Spartz80.0Will J.D. Ford win the Indiana 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?20.0Will Victoria Spartz win the Indiana 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?80.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 78.7 · rows open on the exchange