IN-09 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
97.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
97.1enters as 97.1
Democrats win
2.9enters as 100 − 2.9 = 97.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does IN-09 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
IN-09 General Election — Tim Peck2.5IN-09 General Election — Brad Meyer9.0IN-09 General Election — Erin Houchin91.0Will Brad Meyer win the Indiana 9th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Erin Houchin win the Indiana 9th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0Will Tim Peck win the Indiana 9th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?11.0
Show all 10 contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for IN-09? - Brad Meyer2.5Will Republican win the House race for IN-09? - Erin Houchin96.7Will the Republican Party win the IN-09 House seat?97.6Will the Democratic Party win the IN-09 House seat?2.5
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 97.1 · rows open on the exchange