TX-21 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
95.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
95.1enters as 95.1
Democrats win
4.9enters as 100 − 4.9 = 95.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-21 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?4.9TX-21 General Election — Kristin Hook8.0TX-21 General Election — Mark Teixeira90.0Will Democratic win the House race for TX-21? - Kristin Hook6.0Will Republican win the House race for TX-21? - Mark Teixeira95.7Will Kristin Hook win the Texas 21st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?8.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 95.1 · rows open on the exchange
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