TX-05 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
97.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
97.0enters as 97.0
Democrats win
3.0enters as 100 − 3.0 = 97.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-05 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?3.8TX-05 General Election — Chelsey Hockett7.0TX-05 General Election — Lance Gooden91.0Will Democratic win the House race for TX-05? - Chelsey Hockett1.9Will Republican win the House race for TX-05? - Lance Gooden96.1Will Lance Gooden win the Texas 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will Chelsey Hockett win the Texas 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?96.1
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Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 97.0 · rows open on the exchange
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